Anastasia Marshak discusses forecasting food security in eastern Chad

November 2017

Anastasia Marshak describes Feinstein’s work in collaboration with Concern Worldwide on the BRACED (Building Resilience and Adaptation to Climate Extremes and Disasters) website. The aim of the work is to develop a model that uses local and historical rainfall in Chad’s Kimiti department to predict future crop production and food security. The model focuses on millet production because it is the main cereal crop in Kimiti. Therefore, Anastasia explains, cereal crop production can serve as an appropriate proxy for food availability and potentially access. The model has been registered as an official source for informing the ‘Cadre Harmonisé’ in Chad, which is a regional framework aimed at preventing food crises by quickly identifying affected populations and taking appropriate measures to improve their food and nutrition security.

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